You are overthinking about this a little bit I think. The polls aren't wrong that the voter enthusiasm gap is favoring a lot more to Trump. I see this a lot in my backyard, just so many more strong Trump supporters in his base. Question is will he get enough of the middle ground folks to vote for him during this time around (the ones who aren't in his base but voted for him back in 2016). This remains to be seen. As I stated in my FL post previously, Trump can't win if all the GOP voters vote for him because they aren't enough of them. Currently I don't even think people care about the wars ATM when people are losing work and everything in the country is a mess. Regardless of who wins/loses: They will be too busy with this Covid-19 crap and as usual Congress will barely do anything but go on TV and say the other side sucks.